Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.522567 0.582421 0.647137 0.722437 0.807805 0.901763 1.013258
2025-03-09 0.434555 0.518086 0.615533 0.738179 0.889211 1.070128 1.304765
2025-03-16 0.375849 0.468086 0.581163 0.731086 0.926281 1.174042 1.515895
2025-03-23 0.339168 0.437645 0.563359 0.737361 0.974693 1.291053 1.751345
2025-03-30 0.304775 0.405024 0.537403 0.727393 0.996996 1.371819 1.942933
2025-04-06 0.278758 0.380225 0.518296 0.722991 1.024023 1.458891 2.150240
2025-04-13 0.249080 0.347281 0.484345 0.693237 1.010000 1.483005 2.263374
2025-04-20 0.234626 0.334365 0.477155 0.700912 1.050923 1.591561 2.518228
2025-04-27 0.222101 0.322998 0.470894 0.708764 1.091892 1.702982 2.789380
2025-05-04 0.210458 0.311867 0.463811 0.714208 1.128763 1.810382 3.065193
2025-05-11 0.199258 0.300455 0.455206 0.716094 1.159336 1.909387 3.336909
2025-05-18 0.190642 0.292350 0.450991 0.724436 1.200958 2.030553 3.662638
2025-05-25 0.177120 0.275720 0.432256 0.707500 1.198264 2.074957 3.852714
2025-06-01 0.170726 0.270187 0.431194 0.720609 1.249960 2.223264 4.265504
2025-06-08 0.161208 0.258797 0.419467 0.713890 1.264578 2.303231 4.549803
2025-06-15 0.154808 0.252160 0.415226 0.719983 1.303266 2.432768 4.954398
2025-06-22 0.146278 0.241318 0.402937 0.710282 1.310624 2.500758 5.234242
2025-06-29 0.139310 0.232730 0.393992 0.705996 1.327966 2.590353 5.574116
2025-07-06 0.129109 0.217858 0.372895 0.677030 1.293303 2.568128 5.652261
2025-07-13 0.125040 0.213657 0.370806 0.684503 1.333451 2.708735 6.136592
2025-07-20 0.121255 0.209724 0.368919 0.692146 1.374512 2.855479 6.657491
2025-07-27 0.117388 0.205405 0.366005 0.697446 1.410951 2.995611 7.182695
2025-08-03 0.113315 0.200462 0.361583 0.699282 1.439925 3.121593 7.690128